Our guess is that Gov. Palin will refuse the Republican nomination for the vice presidency, with the news that her unmarried 17-year old daughter is pregnant.
Her reason will be the scurrilous attention of the press to this personal family matter.
It will be a convenient excuse.
The real reason, of course, is the overwhelming alarm about Palin's complete lack of qualification for the job.
The news of her daughter's pregnancy is irrelevant. Unfortunately for the Republican campaign, however, it will probably prove relevant with Palin's constituency, the conservative right.
Palin can back away now, after a turn in the spotlight which illustrated, supposedly, John McCain's alignment with his party's conservatives, and belief in equality for women.
The McCain campaign can blame Palin's vanishing act on the press and the Democrats, and loftily condemn their scandal-mongering and lack of compassion.
It will be a bizarre twist. But it will befit a campaign bereft of ideas, and dependent on character drama.
for Ithaca Blog